Lalor offering great value in Caspian Caviar Gold Cup betting

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Lalor horse racing news

is an interesting runner in the Caspian Caviar Chase at on Saturday. The horse has won on the going and at the course and at this level. The race is a handicap, which means runners are allocated a weight based on their past form and ratings. You would fancy Lalor to beat this field off level weights and the horse could be a handicap good thing. Time will tell, but Lalor is the class act in this £130,000 chase where the winner gets £73,000.

is the ante-post betting favourite at +400 with online bookmakers for a race run over two miles and four-and-a-half furlongs and 17 fences. It is a Grade 3 contest for horses aged four and older. Fifteen winners since the start of the century were aged six, seven, or eight years. Four winners over the last 10 years carried 11 stones or more. Lalor ticks the age box as a seven-year-old but carries 11 stones and six pounds. Only three horses since 2000 have won carrying more weight.

Here are some 10-year betting trends for the big race at the home of jumps racing this weekend:

• The average starting price of the winners was over +900.
• The SPs ranged from +350 to +1600.
• There was one winning favourite.
• Three winners started at double-figure odds.
• Five winners were returned at +700 to +900.

Only three winners this decade were in the top three in the betting. All but one winner since 2009 had won over the distance. Every winner over the last 10 years was rated 133 or higher. Lalor achieved a career-high Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 159 when winning at Cheltenham over two miles in November 2018. Lalor was pulled up in the at the festival in March. He has had a dip in form and ran to a RPR of just 144 on his last start.

The -trained horse won a bumper at the Grand National meeting in 2017. Lalor also won a Grade 1 novices' hurdle at Aintree the following year. The horse was trained by the husband of the current trainer for the first of those races. Tragically, Richard Woollacott took his own life in January 2018 aged 40. Lalor is the best horse he trained and his wife took over the training where Lalor is the flag bearer. Another win at Cheltenham is on the cards.

Lalor is a viable alternative To Riders Onthe Storm. That horse will be ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies, who has won the race twice in the last six years. The is not that his mount can carry the weight. Riders Onthe Storm has been allocated 11-10 and Twiston-Davies is not sure that is a winnable mark.

“It's hard to know about his mark as we've only had him a limited amount of time,” he said in the Racing Post this week.

“We thought 10lb initially was fair enough, but he's got another 3lb since, so we'll see.”

That statement is not a strong endorsement for Riders Onthe Storm. It is debatable whether the horse can give Lalor four pounds. Riders Onthe Storm has run to a top RPR of 153, so Lalor at his best should beat the favourite. Lalor can be backed at +1600 to win the , a race with standard place terms of one-quarter the odds for four places as there are 16 declared runners. One or more withdrawn horses makes it a three places each-way race, but Lalor should be backed for the win.

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