Thousand Guineas betting

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Yearning wins at Caulfield
Yearning ridden by Damien Thornton wins the Schweppes Thousand Guineas at Caulfield Racecourse on October 13, 2021 in Caulfield, Australia. (Reg Ryan/Racing Photos)

Held in early October each year, the Thousand Guineas is one of Australia’s premier races for fillies. As with all the major group titles at the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival, online bookmakers offer excellent odds and bonus offers whenever the Caulfield feature comes around.

DATE: October 12, 2021
VENUE: Caulfield Racecourse, Station St, Caulfield East VIC 3145
DISTANCE: 1600 metres
PRIZE MONEY $1,000,000 AUD
FIRST RUNNING: 1946
2021 WINNER YEARNING

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2021 Thousand Guineas results

Result Horse Trainer Barrier Jockey Weight
1st YEARNING Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 7 Damien Thornton 56Kg
2nd ELUSIVE EXPRESS Anthony & Sam Freedman 11 Jye McNeil 56Kg
3rd BARB RAIDER Jerome Hunter 3 Craig Williams 56Kg
4th LITERARY MAGNATE Matthew Williams 6 Dean Yendall 56Kg

What is the Thousand Guineas?

Established in 1946, the Thousand Guineas is a Group One race for three-year-old fillies only. It is run with set weights over 1600 metres at Caulfield Racecourse in Melbourne’s south-east suburbs.

The Thousand Guineas has held Group One status since the current rating system was introduced in 1979. Before that it was always classed as a Principal Race – the highest level at the time.

In a purely fiscal sense, the Thousand Guineas pales in comparison to Melbourne’s most prestigious group races. The total purse in 2017 was $500,000 – exactly 1/10 the value of the Caulfield Cup.


THOUSAND GUINEAS BETTING STRATEGIES

The favourite has won eight times since 2000 which includes Atlantic Jewel, Miss Finland, Alinghi, Guelph, Irish Lights and Flit.

The Thousand Guineas is known to be a favourites race, but there have been some long-priced winners in recent history and punters have been finding great value.

Serious Speed won in 2007 at odds of $16 and only three years later Yosei was winning with a young Michelle Payne in the saddle at odds of $11. 2014 winner Amicus paid $10 and 2015 winner Stay With Me won paying $8.

Ten winners have paid double figures since 1983 with an average winning price of $14.50 and although five favourites have won in the past 10 years, the five horses that didn’t win also failed to place in the Thousand Guineas.

One of the worst performances from a favourite came in 2014 when $1.90 favourite Lumosty finished eighth behind Amicus. The form out of that running has been fair with only Amicus and Sabatini showing any form at the elite level.

Arguably the best Thousand Guineas form race came in 2010 when Yosei upset them. In behind Yosei that day were the likes of Brazilian Pulse, Sistine Angel, More Strawberries and Cox Plate winner Pinker Pinker.

When looking for a form race coming into the Thousand Guineas, look no further than the Edward Manifold Stakes. Eight winners have come through that race since 2000 which includes Gallica and Alinghi, so keep an eye on that race which takes place in early October.

JOCKEYS AND TRAINERS TO FOLLOW IN THE THOUSAND GUINEAS

Damien Oliver has the best overall record as a jockey in the Thousand Guineas. The experienced hoop has had a record 20 rides in the race for five wins and three placings.

There is also a small list of jockeys to stay away from. Luke Nolen has had seven rides for no wins or placings, Vlad Duric with four starts for no wins or placings and Craig Newitt, who usually gets a good book of rides, has placed in only one running from seven attempts.

In the training ranks, Clarry Connors is a good bet. Connors has had 10 starters for one winner and four placings, so backing his runners each way looks a good strategy.

Mick Price is always improving as a trainer of young horses and his stats of six starts for two wins and two placings is up there with the best.

David Hayes has had 25 runners for two wins and four placings. Not the best strike rate, but strength in numbers for Hayes.

Thousand Guineas past payouts

In 2014, the Chris Waller-trained Amicus won by 0.75 of a length and paid a handsome +1000 on the tote. Traveston Girl and Sabatini made up the minors and the exotic payouts were well worth investing. The trifecta paid $1714.00 and the first four paid a whopping $11,141.80 with Bring Me The Maid running into fourth position late in the piece.

Just to show the Thousand Guineas doesn’t always favour the each way bettors, in 2013 the Peter Snowden-trained Guelph justified its favourite’s tag at a slim -250. May’s Dream and Gregers made up the minors for a $14.40 trifecta.

In 2012, however, Commanding Jewel won paying +640 with Dear Demi (+270) and Zydeco (+300) completing the podium. The first four again proved worth targeting when it returned $13,153.30.

Previous Thousand Guineas Results

Year Horse Trainer Jockey
2021 YEARNING Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes Damien Thornton
2020 ODEUM Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Michael Walker
2019 FLIT James Cummings Hugh Bowman
2018 AMPHITRITE Darren Weir Craig Williams
2017 ALOISIA(NZ) Aaron Purcell Luke Nolen
2016 GLOBAL GLAMOUR Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Kerrin McEvoy
2015 STAY WITH ME David Hayes Dwayne Dunn
2014 AMICUS Chris Waller Hugh Bowman
2013 GUELPH Peter Snowden Kerrin McEvoy
2012 COMMANDING JEWEL Leon Corstens Damien Oliver
2011 ATLANTIC JEWEL Mark Kavanagh Michael Rodd
2010 YOSEI Stuart Webb Michelle Payne
2009 IRISH LIGHTS David Hayes Glen Boss
2008 GALLICA Mick Price Damien Oliver
2007 SERIOUS SPEED Leon Macdonald Danny Nikolic
2006 MISS FINLAND David Hayes Craig Williams
2005 MNEMOSYNE John Hawkes Darren Beadman
2004 ALINGHI Lee Freedman Damien Oliver
2003 SPECIAL HARMONY Lee Freedman Damien Oliver
2002 MACEDON LADY John Symons Steven King
2001 MAGICAL MISS Bart Cummings Steven Arnold
2000 ALL TIME HIGH Russell Cameron Steven Arnold
1999 SHIZU(NZ) Michael Moroney Jim Cassidy

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