Originally published at www.HorseBetting.com.au
The Championships are officially over, but there’s still two group ones on offer this Saturday at Royal Randwick and we have all the latest info and tips for our punters.
The big races on the card is the Group 1 Champagne Stakes where bookmakers have Yankee Rose as the very short favourite. The two-year-old filly is coming off a win in the Sires’ Produce and many believe it can win back-to-back.
The Group 1 All Aged Stakes is also on the card where a small, but classy field will run. The likes of Press Statement, Malaguerra and English will go to battle and bookmakers have found it tough to split the field.
Plenty of good racing action on the nine-race card which starts with the Highway Handicap at 12.05pm this Saturday.
Get a $50 bonus bet at CrownBet.com.au if your horse finishes second on races 6-9 at Randwick this Saturday.
Race 1 – Tab Highway Handicap C3 (1200m)
Dylan’s Dynasty has plenty of good things in its favour here and it is paying a good price. The Robert Price-trained gelding is coming off a win and gets the inside draw with a weight of 53.5kg. It is currently paying $17 which looks like good value and it could run into the minor money.
Circle Game finished only 5 lengths behind Alaskan Rose last start at Caulfield and that form looks good at this level. The Matthew Dale-trained filly won by two lengths at Canberra second up and with Brenton Avdulla riding down at 53kg, it looms as the major winning chance at $4.20.
Rodney Northam lines up Murranji and Victorian rider Dwayne Dunn takes the ride. The four-year-old has placed second up and its best efforts have come on a dry track. It hasn’t been far off some handy types in recent starts and it could go close at $10.
Race 1 tip: Circle Game to win ($4.20) at CrownBet.com.au
Race 2 – EGroup Security 3YO Sprint (1200m)
Santa Ana Lane couldn’t have been more impressive when finishing second behind Handfast in the South Pacific Classic last start. The three-year-old for Lee and Anthony Freedman has good form and despite being forced wide last start, it stuck on well and it looks the toughest to beat in this. Only queries are the big weight, wide draw and the current $2.80 price.
Lucky Can Be was game in behind Sultry Feeling last start and it is warming up nicely towards a big win. The Ron Quinton-trained mare arguably should have won last start and it will likely get back from the wide barrier and storm home again. There could be a lack of speed in this race which won’t suit, but it’s a talented type at $6.
Mohave has won only three from 18, but James McDonald and Godolphin are having a good week and it has the ability to win this. The four-year-old will be forced to carry 61kg which isn’t ideal, but it defeated a handy type in She’s Miss Devine four back and that class could show up. Bookmakers have kept it safe at $8 and the $2.50 is decent money for the place.
Race 2 tip: Santa Ana Lane to win ($2.80) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 3 – Frank Packer Plate (2000m)
He’s Our Rokki wasn’t liked in the betting last start when it drifted significantly, but it raced three wide and still defied the odds. The Hayes/Dabernig-trained gelding won the Carbine Club Stakes despite getting no luck during the run and that form should hold up well for this. It’s a tough former New Zealand runner and it stays at a good weight here. $5 for each way value.
Old North couldn’t have been more impressive when winning the Tulloch Stakes last start and punters have climbed in. The John O’Shea-trained colt bypassed the Derby which was a smart idea and it gets in well on the weights for this. It defeated a good field by 1.3 lengths last start and its opening price of $2.30 has already been cut to $2.10. It will want a good pace up front, but it has enough class to overcome that.
Stablemate and second-stringer Asinara has also been specked in the betting. The three-year-old filly is currently paying $4.60 after running on well in the Vinery Stud Stakes behind Single Gaze. It brings a different form line into this and despite it being the second string Godolphin runner, punters seem unperturbed. Consider here and watch betting moves.
Race 3 tip: He’s Our Rokki to win ($5) at Bet365.com.au
Race 4 – James Carr Stakes (1400m)
Lady Sniper is a talented filly which just wasn’t up to the class it faced last start. Trained by Bjorn Baker, the three-year-old has won four from 12 with four placings and it won the Gosford Guineas in fine style by 1.3 lengths. Bookmakers have it at $5.50 which looks about right.
Pearls looks ready to win again after finishing fast behind Tempt Me Not in the P.J Bell Stakes last start. The John O’Shea-trained filly hasn’t won for some time now, but it’s a filly that needs to warm up and this is an easier field than what it has faced lately. Punters are confident at $2.80 and so are we.
Denmagic didn’t get the best of luck last start and with a better run here, it could feature in the money. The David Pfieffer-trained filly was wide last start in the P.J Bell and its form prior suggested a win wouldn’t be far away. This isn’t an easy race, but consider for multiples.
Race 4 tip: Pearls to win ($2.80) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 5 – Moet & Chandon Champagne Stakes (1600m)
Prized Icon showed a clean pair of heels last start to win by two lengths. The James Cummings-trained colt took six starts to break through and now it should have more confidence. It is a good-sized two-year-old which could worry a few of the fillies out of this. It opened at $10 and has since come in for support to $9. We’re expecting a good effort.
Yankee Rose was simply stunning in the Sires’ Produce and it deserves to be the $1.50 favourite. The David Vandyke-trained filly also finished second in the Golden Slipper and that’s the only start where it hasn’t won. It has had an interrupted preparation with mild lameness and taking the $1.50 is a risk. Clearly the best youngster in the race, but the risk is too high.
Obscura has run two nice races for one placing and the Godolphin camp are quietly confident. The Street Cry colt gets the inside draw and it could control the pace in front with James McDonald in the saddle. $8 in the betting suggests it has a chance of causing the upset.
Race 5 tip: Prized Icon to place ($2.10) at WilliamHill.com.au
Race 6 – Hall Mark Stakes (1200m)
Music Magnate makes its return to the track having spelled after winning back-to-back races last campaign. The Bjorn Baker-trained gelding defeated the talented San Diego and Good Project and it typically finds good form when fresh up. Drawing wide will force it back, but it likes to run on strongly. $4.80 chance with bookmakers.
Target In Sight looks a good statistical bet and it comes into this having run second behind Malaguerra last start. The Joe Pride-trained gelding has won twice second up, won three times at this track and five times at this distance. The statistics read well and it looks a nice bet at $5.50 for the win and $2 for the place.
Speak Fondly is a classy filly which is unbeaten in two starts second up. It didn’t fire fresh last start which is why bookmakers have it at $6, but a win wouldn’t surprise as it finished second behind Exosphere in the Golden Rose last year. It has any amount of ability and the $6 could look silly post-race.
Race 6 tip: Target In Sight to win ($5.50) at CrownBet.com.au
Race 7 – Schweppes All Aged Stakes (1400m)
English has suffered some poor barrier draws of late and getting barrier seven in an eight-horse field isn’t much better. The Gai Waterhouse-trained filly has run on well behind Griante and Chautauqua in its last two and it deserves a change of luck. Bookies are offering $4.40 which is on the short side, but it clearly has talent and could finish over the top of them late.
Press Statement could be heading to Royal Ascot if it wins here and it looks a grand chance. The Chris Waller-trained colt finished second in the Randwick Guineas before running third in the George Ryder and it will appreciate the conditions for this race. There is no Winx in this field and its closest rival (Malaguerra) has never faced the same class as Press Statement. Concern is its drift from $2.70 to $2.80 so monitor any more negative movement.
Malaguerra has the picket fence formline, taking its overall record to nine wins from 16 starts. The Lee and Anthony Freedman-trained sprinter has looked good this preparation in taking out some handy sprint fields, but this is a massive rise in class. The current price of $4.40 is too short for the taking, but it has the ability to win.
Race 7 tip: Press Statement to win ($2.80) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 8 – Sharp Japan Racing JRA Plate (2000m)
Havana Cooler was a nice last start winner in the Doncaster Prelude and despite having never won second up, this isn’t the best of fields. The team is going well at the moment having won four races consecutively on Wednesday and punters will likely be on here. Currently the favourite at $4.
Messene hasn’t won in forever, but it has placed in consecutive starts which looms as good form for this. The seven-year-old finished a nose behind Sir John Hawkwood two back and under a length behind It’s Somewhat last start. If it’s going to win a race it would be this, consider at $5.50.
Guardini ran nicely behind Leebaz last start at Caulfield and it should be in fit order for this. It placed in its only start at this distance and bookmakers have kept it very safe in the betting at $5. Looks a nice each way chance, but we want to see more from it this season.
Race 8 tip: Messene to win ($5.50) at Bet365.com.au
Race 9 – Royal Randwick R100 (1400m)
Religify won well two back before running a gallant placing behind Federal last start. The Chris Waller-trained sprinter has won six from 14 starts and it hasn’t missed a placing in two starts at this distance. It is currently a $5.50 chance with bookmakers.
Nancy has been unlucky to not have won this preparation after back-to-back placings. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained mare gets back in its races and flies home, so the rise up to 1400m should suit nicely. It looks a good bet in this grade at $3.30.
Medcaut has won or placed in all five starts at Randwick and despite the big weight of 59.5kg, it should be able to run well at this level. McDonald will have some work to do from barrier 13, but he has the class and punters are getting a nice each way price of $9. Chance.
Race 9 tip: Nancy to win ($3.30) at Sportsbet.com.au