Finding winners & value bets at Randwick for Eskimo Prince Stakes

Racing Online - Tips - Finding winners & value bets at Randwick for Eskimo Prince Stakes
Randwick

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RandwickSTAKES racing continues this Saturday at Randwick with the Group 3 $150,000 Eskimo Prince Stakes where the likes of Pride Of Dubai, Counterattack and Cannyescent will all be on show.

The $250,000 Inglis Classic is another highlight on the card with a full field competing. The Chris Waller-trained Wonderful Story could live up to its name for punters which have backed the C.C. Lai-owned runner into $3 with bookmakers.

The Thoroughbred Breeders’ Classic has attracted a field of only seven runners, but it’s a smart field including Dublin Lass, Amicus and I’ve Got The Looks.

There’s plenty of other good betting races, including the Frank Wilding Benchmark 93 at 12:40pm. Open an account with Sportsbet.com.au to get the best early odds available.

Race 1 – Frank Wilding R93 Handicap (2000m)

Loophole was a stylish back-to-back winner with the latest coming at Randwick by half-a-length. The Chris Waller-trained gelding is a three-time winner on this track and a four-time winner at this distance. The stats read well and Andrew Adkins takes 3kg off its back. Solid chance at $5.50 in the betting.

John O’Shea lines up Allergic which is coming off a very strong performance at Rosehill. The four-year-old by Street Cry won by 1.75 lengths over Cauthen’s Power and jockey James McDonald is coming off an impressive three-win haul on Wednesday. Punters have taken notice and it’s in to $2.40 for the win option.

Landlocked is a 10-win gelding which hasn’t won for some time, but could provide some value at good odds. The son of Zabeel gets the services of Hugh Bowman which is a big positive here and the last time it had a senior rider in the saddle, it finished only 1.7 lengths behind Tinto. It’s a three-time winner at this distance and the $21 on offer should be respected.

Tip: Allergic to win ($2.40) at CrownBet.com.au

Race 2 – Tab Highway Handicap C3 (1200m)

Invienna has already won a Highway Handicap at Rosehill and it padded that victory with another strong performance last start. The Greg Bennett-trained mare has plenty of ability, especially at this level, and its breeding suggests it won’t stick around in these races for much longer. Drawing barrier 17 is a big deterrent, but Shinn rides so consider at $6.

Lord Van Costa won by 2.75 lengths two starts back and it only narrowly ran second behind the smart Atom Eve last start. Graham Hulm prepares the son of Von Costa De Hero and even though it was caught wide throughout the run last start, it still pushed an unbeaten runner to within a length. That should be respected in this and the light weight of 53kg brings it right into contention. Value price of $6 available.

Three Sheets has won three times from 10 starts with six placings. The four-year-old by Stratum was a comfortable last start winner at Sunshine Coast by 1.25 lengths and that form should hold up well in the Highway Handicap. It finished second in the $230,000 Magic Millions Country Stakes in January and only the 60kg is a worry in this. Each way chance at $7.

Tip: Lord Van Costa to win ($6) at Sportsbet.com.au

Race 3 – Ranvet R93 Handicap (1000m)

Craftiness was disappointing in three runs last campaign for trainer Joe Pride and he’s hoping for a better effort this time around. The former top-line sprinter which has won six from 12 starts goes its best races when fresh and it hasn’t finished worse than third in five starts on this track. Hugh Bowman rides, but it will be forced to carry 62.5kg. We’re not sure it’s going well enough to carry that extreme weight. $3.80 for the win.

Felines has been the best backed runner of the field at $2.60. The Kris Lees-trained sprinter has won six from 17 with seven placings and is coming off a strong win at Randwick last start. The four-year-old is a distance specialist with five wins and it wouldn’t mind if there was some cut out of the track. It hasn’t been tested against the very best sprinters, but is worth a chance based on the betting patterns.

Got The Goss was a touch average when finishing ninth last start, but it was making some late ground. The five-year-old has won half of its 16 career starts and all three at this distance. This is another rise up in grade which won’t make it easy, but Jennings takes 3kg off its back and it could be worth a nibble at $2.30 for the place.

Tip: Felines to win ($2.60) at WilliamHill.com.au

Race 4 – Thoroughbred Breeders Classic (1200m)

I’ve Got The Looks has been a touch average since winning the Juanmo Stakes at Doomben last May. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained mare is now third up this campaign which should suit and it still owns some handy distance stats. The daughter of Choisir has won seven from 17 at the 1200 metres and track conditions won’t be an issue. It drops down to 54kg which is the lowest it has carried for a long time and that makes it a dangerous proposition. $4.20 available in the small field.

Stablemate Dublin Lass was no match for Cradle Me in the Razorsharp Stakes, but its form prior suggested it will be tough to beat in this. The speedy mare prefers running over 1000 metres, but it has form at this distance and the bookmakers have it as the short priced favourite. With the in-form James McDonald in the saddle at the weight of 54kg, bookmakers are offering only $2.20, which seems about fair.

Amicus is fresh up after running fifth in the Group 1 Myer Classic over 1600 metres and is has won at the shorter distances. Its best form comes fresh up with one win and two placings from four starts. The inside draw will allow it to dictate play with Bowman riding and it’s worth including at $4.60 for the win.

Tip: Dublin Lass to win ($2.20) at Bet365.com.au

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Race 5 – Inglis Classic (1200m)

Rampage is a Hayes/Dabernig-trained colt which ran third behind Blue Diamond favourite Extreme Choice last time out. The All American colt won a winner on debut at Moonee Valley and it showed encouraging signs at Randwick last start after not getting any favours in the running. Drawing barrier one should be an assist and punters have supported it into $5.

The best backed runner has been Wonderful Story at $3. The Chris Waller-trained colt has finished third, second and first in three trials and its breeding suggests it will only get better with time. Runners owned by C.C Lai are often well backed and this son of Street Sense is no different. Treat with respect, but watch for any late market movement.

Kris Lees lines up Twist Tops which tried hard in behind the unbeaten Scarlet Rain at Randwick and the heavy track probably didn’t help its cause. The two-year-old filly kicked off its career with a fourth behind Calliope in the Gimcrack and it had a vet problem second up at Moonee Valley. Tough to get a line on this runner, but it has been well respected in the betting at $4.20.

Tip: Rampage to win ($5) at CrownBet.com.au

Race 6 – Tab.com.au Gardenia Handicap (1600m)

Unbeaten New Zealand star Hasselhoof arrives in Australia with a big reputation and it should prove tough to beat. The Donna Logan-trained gelding has won all six starts to the races by big margins and it gets a handy draw of three to jump from. It won the Group 2 Rich Hill Mile last time out and this field doesn’t look to be any better. Smart type which is yet to be tested and the $2.10 looks a nice multi-bet inclusion.

Medcaut is a classy type which has won seven from 21, including two on this track and four at this distance. It won narrowly last time out at Randwick and another run at the mile will suit nicely. It gets the inside draw with James McDonald in the saddle and the $8.50 on offer looks like good each way value.

Zin Zan Eddie goes best on this track and some cut out of the ground would see its chances increase. The Matthew Smith-trained gelding beat a nice field including Voilier by over two lengths last time out and if it can hold that form it should be in the mix. It’s currently on the second line of betting at $6.50.

Tip: Hasselhoof to win ($2.10) at Sportsbet.com.au

Race 7 – Eskimo Prince Stakes (1200m)

Counterattack has been the best-backed runner of the field. The Chris Waller-trained colt opened at $4.20 and has since dropped down to $3.80 on the back of consistent support. The three-year-old colt by Redoute’s Choice was last seen running third behind Japonisme in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes and it’s another type which would love some rain on the track. It is weighted well enough and should be tough to beat.

Cannyescent was a strong last start winner at Randwick on Australia Day and it didn’t have much luck in the run. The Gabrielle Englebrecht-trained gelding has now won twice from four starts and its only non-winning efforts came against some tough opposition. This is a very tough field, but it has the scope to compete at the higher levels and $11 looks a nice each-way price.

Pride Of Dubai is a multiple Group 1-winning colt which won both the Blue Diamond and the Sires Produce. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained runner looks better suited over more ground, but you can’t overlook class. This run won’t be made easy by the big weight, and punters haven’t taken to the price originally offered by bookmakers. It opened at $4 and has since drifted out to $4.40. It could drift out to $5 come race time.

Tip: Cannyescent to place ($3) at Sportsbet.com.au

Race 8 – ATC Remembers Banjo Paterson Handicap (1400m)

Sports Edition is currently paying $21 which is about right given its form, but it has talent and Waterhouse wouldn’t start it for no reason. The four-year-old by Northern Meteor was a winner four starts back at Eagle Farm and it has since been taken on in front before folding due to the pressure. Good sprint jockey Tommy Berry rides at 55.5kg which gives it a minor chance.

Roaring To Win was a classy last start winner by 2.75 lengths and it stays in the same grade for this. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained gelding has won on this track and distance and it has yet to finish out of the money in seven starts on rain-affected ground. Shorter in the market than expected at $3.20, but it looks a winning chance.

Selita is a four-win mare which beat a nice type last time to the races. The Bjorn Baker-trained mare has won its last four races and despite being only a lightly-framed type, it keeps producing tough performances. Dropping from 58kg to 54.5kg with McDonald in the saddle is a big help so consider in this at $4.80.

Tip: Sports Edition to place ($4.80) at WilliamHill.com.au

Race 9 – Colin Tidy Tribute Handicap (1600m)

Gai Waterhouse lines up Fabrizio which has won its last three races. The four-year-old looked ultra impressive last start when producing a big sprint on a heavy track. It’s well bred by High Chaparral so the increase in distance will suit and bookmakers expect it to go well at $5.

Tower Of Song proved too good for its rivals last start at Warwick Farm and even though it’s stepping up in grade, it should prove a worthy contender based on the betting. The Snowden-trained gelding opened at $5 and has since been backed into $4.60. That bodes well for this and Hugh Bowman riding is only a positive.

We’re Sure is a two-win gelding which won well at Rosehill four starts back. It hasn’t come close in its last three starts, but it has been running on very nicely and the light weight of 54.5kg drops even lower after the apprentice claim of Winona Costin. It has drawn wide, but its opening price of $11 has dropped to $8. Winning chance.

Tip: Fabrizio to win ($5) at CrownBet.com.au

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