THE bookies are back with their best bets for the Monash Stakes at Caulfield, their days best, value and lay of the day.
If you followed the ‘lay of the day’ tips last weekend you would have avoided backing some false favourites which our generous bookmakers steered us clear of.
The Group 3 Monash Stakes is the feature this weekend and it includes the well-performed Lord Of The Sky which is looking to turn consistent efforts into winning form.
It is the current $1.85 favourite and our bookmakers are sticking firm with the Robbie Laing-trained horse.
Bookmakers Monash Stakes tips
“Not the greatest fresh record but he seems a much stronger type now as evidenced by his last two runs when placed in Group 1 company. Damien Oliver sticks here and looks the one to beat.
“Finished second at his past two runs in Group 1 company including being beaten a nose to the smart Chautauqua in the T.J. Smith two starts ago. Will find this much easier and won this race last year.”
“Happy to bet around the favourite Lord Of The Sky at the price and see no better value that this consistent Adelaide sprinter that has won four from his last five.”
“Was a great win in this race last year. Robbie Laing has his top sprinter primed for this race and with Damien Oliver steering him he should make light work of this field.”
“Highly impressive last start and will have a perfect run here just off a hot tempo. She is improving and at weight-for-age gets her chance to knock off the favourite.”
Best bets, value runners and lays
Radical ($4.60) – Race 3, Caulfield
“Strong win two runs back before desperately unlucky last week when looking sure to be in the finish. Looks to be suited getting out to this trip and in what is not a strong race looks hard to beat.”
Value runner: Elle Lou ($7) – Race 4, Rosehill
“Good second last start behind Berry Delicious, who’s won again since when defeating the older mares last week. Should get the gun run from the draw and looks to be well over the odds at her current quote.”
Lay of the day: Missvonn ($3.60) – Race 3, Rosehill
“Rather plain last week when a warm favourite. Now tackles a trip she is unknown at and has a decent weight to boot. Worth risking at her current quote.”
Aussies Love Sport ($3.60) – Race 4, Sunshine Coast
“Has transferred to the stable of Toby Edmonds since doing most of his recent racing in Sydney, including a Rosehill win two starts back. Form looks up to these and gets in well on the minimum.”
Value runner: Allknight Saint ($13) – Race 5, Sunshine Coast
“Will benefit greatly from a solid first-up run here when kept working home nicely. Will appreciate the step up in distance and just needs a bit of luck from the wide draw to figure in the finish. Great value.”
Lay of the day: Dothraki ($3) – Race 6, Rosehill
“Class runner but pays for it carrying clear top-weight. Has drawn wide which will make his task harder and unsure where he will settle from out there. Prepared to risk with a few things against him.”
Word Of Mouth ($2.60) – Race 9, Caulfield
“Made him the best when he won by five lengths two weeks ago and see no reason to jump off here where he gets in on the minimum with gun apprentice Michael Dee in the saddle.”
Value runner: Lirabird ($9) – Race 7, Caulfield
“This lightly raced filly has looked very impressive in her three starts and I have no doubt that if she was from a city stable she’d be close to favourite here.”
Lay of the day: Northkape ($4.40) – Race 1, Caulfield
“Won well on debut, but in a race where there is a heap of un-raced two-year-olds from strong Melbourne stables I couldn’t take the current quote on offer.”
Word Of Mouth – Race 9, Caulfield
“Tried to find something different for a best but I just can’t see how this isn’t a put in, take out job. I can’t fault him in the field at Caulfield, he will win and will likely win well. Get on.”
Value runner: Iggamacool ($13), Race 2, Caulfield
“Has been a fair bit placed on early days with us, so punters are obviously seeing the $15 about him as value, I’m sticking with the money here.”
Lay of the day: Rich Jack ($4.80), Race 4, Caulfield
“Should have won his last start but he is under the odds in this event against a field of more than capable sprinters, carrying less weight. Prefer others.”
Word Of Mouth – Race 9, Caulfield
“Is thrown in here with the 2kg claim for red hot apprentice Michael Dee. Ran great time and sections last start and conditions look to suit again on Saturday.”
Value runner: Vain Attraction ($9), Race 2, Caulfield
“The Darren Weir camp are flying and this mare gets her chance in a very moderate race. With the 1.5kg claim and back to her favourite track we think she will be in the finish.”
Lay of the day: Lord Of The Sky ($1.85), Race 8, Caulfield
“Cannot see him getting any peace in front this time and his best runs have been on rain-affected going mean we will be opposing the favourite.”