Cheltenham Festival Day 3 betting guide – St Patrick’s Thursday

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The third of four days at the Cheltenham Festival is named for the patron saint of the Irish, with whom the Gloucestershire racing carnival is especially popular. The feature race is the Stayers’ Hurdle at 3.30pm.

MARSH Novices’ Chase

1:30pm – Grade 1 – 2m 3f 166y – £150,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged five and older with 17 fences. All horses carry 11-04 except five-year-olds (11-03) and mares receive an allowance of seven pounds.

Novices’ Chase winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2011 Noble Prince AP McCoy Paul Nolan 4/1
2012 Sir Des Champs Davy Russell Willie Mullins 3/1
2013 Benefficiant Bryan Cooper AJ Martin 20/1
2014 Taquin Du Seuil AP McCoy Jonjo O’Neill 7/1
2015 Vautour Ruby Walsh Willie Mullin 6/4 F
2016 Black Hercules Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 4/1 JF
2017 Yorkhill Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 6/4 F
2018 Shattered Love Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott 4/1
2019 Defi Du Seuil Barry Geraghty Philip Hobbs 3/1 F

Novices’ Chase betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +500.
  • Range of starting prices: +150 to +2000.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: four.
  • Odds-on favourites: none.
  • Double-figure priced winners: one.
  • Most common range of odds: five winners from [rm_geo_odd val=3/1] to +400.

Novices’ Chase race trends

  • British-trained winners: two.
  • Irish-trained winners: seven.
  • Most common age: seven.
  • Weight range: 10-11 to 11-04.
  • Leading jockey (wins): Ruby Walsh (three).
  • Leading trainer (wins): Willie Mullins (four).

Pertemps Final (Handicap Hurdle)

2:10pm – Grade 3 – 2m 7f 213y – £100,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged five and older with 12 hurdles. The race is a handicap, so horses carry a range of weights from 10-00 to 11-12.

Pertemps Final - Buena Vista

Pertemps Final recent winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Buena Vista Hadden Frost David Pipe 16/1
2011 Buena Vista Conor O’Farrall David Pipe 20/1
2012 Cape Tribulation Denis O’Regan Malcolm Jefferson 14/1
2013 Holywell Richie McLernon Jonjo O’Neill 25/1
2014 Fingal Bay Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs 9/2 F
2015 Call The Cops Andrew Tinkler Nicky Henderson 9/1
2016 Mall Dini Davy Russell Patrick G Kelly 14/1
2017 Presenting Percy Davy Russell Patrick G Kelly 11/1
2018 Delta Work Davy Russell Gordon Elliott 7/1
2019 Sire Du Berlais Barry Geraghty Gordon Elliott 4/1 F

Pertemps Final 10-year betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +1200.
  • Range of starting prices: +400 to +2500.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: two.
  • Odds-on favourites: none.
  • Double-figure priced winners: six.
  • Most common range of odds: five winners from +1400 to +2500.

Pertemps Final 10-year race trends

  • British-trained winners: six.
  • Irish-trained winners: four.
  • Most common age: six.
  • Weight range: 10-01 to 11-12.
  • Leading jockey (wins): Davy Russell (three).
  • Leading trainer (wins): David Pipe, Patrick G Kelly and Gordon Elliott (two).

Ryanair Chase

2:50pm – Grade 1 – 2m 4f 127y – £350,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged five and older with 17 fences. All horses carry 11-10 except five-year-olds (11-09) and mares receive an allowance of seven pounds.

Ryanair Chase recent winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Albertas Run AP McCoy Jonjo O’Neill 14/1
2011 Albertas Run AP McCoy Jonjo O’Neill 6/1
2012 Riverside Theatre Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson 7/2 F
2013 Cue Card Joe Tizzard Colin Tizzard 7/2
2014 Dynaste Tom Scudamore David Pipe 3/1 F
2015 Uxizandre AP McCoy Alan King 16/1
2016 Vautour Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins Evens F
2017 Un De Sceaux Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 7/4 F
2018 Balko Des Flos Davy Russel Henry de Bromhead 8/1
2019 Frodon Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls 9/2

Ryanair Chase 10-year betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +600.
  • Range of starting prices: evens to +1600.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: three.
  • Odds-on favourites: none.
  • Double-figure priced winners: two.
  • Most common range of odds: four winners from +300 to +450.

Ryanair Chase 10-year race trends

  • British-trained winners: seven.
  • Irish-trained winners: three.
  • Most common age: seven.
  • Weight range: all winners carried 11-10.
  • Leading jockey (wins): AP McCoy (three).
  • Leading trainer (wins): Jonjo O’Neill and Willie Mullins (two).

Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle

3:30pm – Grade 1 – 2m 7f 213y – £325,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged four and older with 12 hurdles. All horses carry 11-10 except four-year-olds (11-00) and mares receive an allowance of seven pounds.

Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle - Big Bucks

Stayers’ Hurdle recent winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls 5/6 F
2011 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls 10/11 F
2012 Big Bucks Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls 5/6 F
2013 Solwhit Paul Carberry Charles Byrnes 17/2
2014 More Of That Barry Geraghty Jonjo O’Neill 7/2
2015 Cole Harden Gavin Sheehan Warren Greatrex 14/1
2016 Thistlecrack Tom Scudamore Colin Tizzard Evens F
2017 Nichols Canyon Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 10/1
2018 Penhill Paul Townend Willie Mullins 12/1
2019 Paisley Park Aidan Coleman Emma Lavelle 11/8 F

Stayers’ Hurdle 10-year betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +500.
  • Range of starting prices: -120 to +1400.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: five.
  • Odds-on favourites: three.
  • Double-figure priced winners: three.
  • Most common range of odds: five winners from -120 to +137.5.

Stayers’ Hurdle 10-year race trends

  • British-trained winners: seven.
  • Irish-trained winners: three.
  • Most common age: seven.
  • Weight range: all winners carried 11-10.
  • Leading jockey (wins): Ruby Walsh (four).
  • Leading trainer (wins): Paul Nicholls (three).

The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Handicap Chase)

4:10pm – Grade 3 – 2m 4f 166y – £110,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged five and older with 17 fences. The race is a handicap, so horses carry a range of weights from 10-00 to 11-12.

Plate Handicap Chase recent winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Great Endeavour Danny Cook David Pipe 18/1
2011 Holmwood Legend Keiran Burke Patrick Rodford 25/1
2012 Salut Flo Tom Scudamore David Pipe 9/2 F
2013 Carrickboy Liam Treadwell Venetia Williams 50/1
2014 Ballynagour Tom Scudamore David Pipe 12/1
2015 Darna David Bass Kim Bailey 33/1
2016 Empire of Dirt BJ Cooper 16/1
2017 Road To Respect BJ Cooper Noel Meade 14/1
2018 The Storyteller Davy Russell Gordon Elliott 5/1 F
2019 Siruh Du Lac Lizzie Kelly Nick Williams 9/2

Plate Handicap Chase 10-year betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +1800.
  • Range of starting prices: +450 to +5000.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: two.
  • Odds-on favourites: none.
  • Double-figure priced winners: seven.
  • Most common range of odds: five winners from +1400 to +3300.

Plate Handicap Chase 10-year race trends

  • British-trained winners: six.
  • Irish-trained winners: four.
  • Most common age: six and nine.
  • Weight range: 10-01 to 11-04.
  • Leading jockey (wins): Tom Scudamore and BJ Cooper (two).
  • Leading trainer (wins): David Pipe (three).

Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle

4:50pm – Grade 2 – 2m 179y – £90,000

Cheltenham New Course, for fillies and mares aged four and older with eight hurdles. All horses carry 11-02 except four-year-olds (10-09).

Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2016 Limini Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 8/11 F
2017 Let’s Dance Ruby Walsh Willie Mullins 11/8 F
2018 Laurina Paul Townend Willie Mullins 4/7 F
2019 Eglantine Du Seuil Noel Fehily Willie Mullins 50/1

Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle betting trends

  • The average price of the winners: over +1300.
  • Range of starting prices: -175.01 to +5000.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: three.
  • Odds-on favourites: two.
  • Double-figure priced winners: one.
  • Most common range of odds: three winners from -175.01 to +137.5.

Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle race trends

  • British-trained winners: none.
  • Irish-trained winners: four.
  • Most common age: five.
  • Weight range: all winners carried 11-07.
  • Leading jockey (wins): Ruby Walsh (two).
  • Leading trainer (wins): Willie Mullins (four).

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase

5:30pm – Ungraded – 3m 2f – £70,000

Cheltenham New Course, for horses aged five and older with 26 fences. The race is a handicap, so horses carry a range of weights from 10-00 to 11-12.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase recent winners

Year Horse Jockey Trainer SP
2010 Ballabriggs RO Harding Donald McCain 9/1
2011 Junior JJ Codd David Pipe 10/3 F
2012 Sunnyhillboy AJ Berry Jonjo O’Neill 13/2 F
2013 Same Difference Ryan Hatch Nigel Twiston-Davies 16/1
2014 Spring Heeled Robbie McNamara JH Culloty 12/1
2015 The Package JJ Codd David Pipe 9/1
2016 Cause Of Causes JJ Codd Gordon Elliot 9/2
2017 Domesday Book Miss G Andrews Stuart Edmunds 40/1
2018 Missed Approach N McParlan Warren Greatrex 8/1
2019 Any Second Now Derek O’Connor Ted Walsh 6/1

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 10-year betting trends

  • Average price of winners: over +1100.
  • Range of starting prices: +333.33 to +4000.
  • Number of outright and joint favourites: two.
  • Odds-on favourites: none.
  • Double-figure priced winners: three.
  • Most common range of odds: five winners from +600 to +900.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 10-year race trends

  • British-trained winners: seven.
  • Irish-trained winners: three.
  • Most common age: seven.
  • Weight range: 11-00 to 11-12.
  • Leading jockey (wins): JJ Codd (three).
  • Leading trainer: (wins): David Pipe (two).






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