Beating the bookies with their own tips at the Caulfield Cup

Racing Online - Tips - Beating the bookies with their own tips at the Caulfield Cup
2015 Caulfield Cup

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Caulfield CupTHE bookies are back with their best bets for Saturday’s $3 million Group 1 Caulfield Cup and they have all selected a different horse for the feature.

In fact, our bookmakers are so diverse this week, they have selected one horse from Europe, Japan, New Zealand and Australia. That’s what we call keeping everyone happy!

They’re also back with their day’s best, value runner and the horse they feel punters should steer away from this Saturday.

Caulfield Cup bookmaker bets

Sportsbet.com.au – Hauraki ($8)

“Set for this, was excellent last start and has a 1.5kg weight turnaround on the favourite Mongolian Khan from the Australian Derby. Should get a trail into the race and can produce a withering sprint.”

WilliamHill.com.au – Snow Sky ($10)

“Dominant winner of the Hardwicke stakes two runs back beating the two horses that ran the Quinella in the King George. Top jock on board and from the gate is set to give a big sight here.”

CrownBet.com.au – Mongolian Khan ($4.50)

“Love the way Murray Baker has prepared this bloke. We know he loves 2400m, has drawn the perfect barrier and he’s tough. Has a touch of brilliance which you need to win this race.”

Bet365.com – Fame Game ($11)

“Japanese visitor to be ridden by Zac Purton. While resumes and yet to win fresh, has shown an ability to finish off his races strongly and will have no work to do from the inside barrier.”

Bookies day’s best and value tips

Bet365.com – Stratum Star at $3.50 (Race 6, Caulfield)

“Has been racing in great form and was beaten just over a length in the Toorak Handicap here seven days ago. Expect to be ridden patiently up to the 2000m and look for him to be storming home.”

Value runner – Gregers at $10 (Race 8, Caulfield)

“Ready to peak fourth-up here after racing in much harder class of late. Will appreciate being back against her own sex and look for her to race right up near the speed. Great value.”

WilliamHill.com.au – Beaten Up at $2.60 (Race 8, Randwick)

“Flying this preparation without winning and his latest effort, a strong second in the Metropolitan when giving the winner weight is a strong pointer to this. Only has to hold that sort of form to be winning.”

Value runner – Moral Victory at $7 (Race 5, Randwick)

“Returned in good order behind two handy types a few weeks back. Should race handy to the pace and in what looks to be only average early speed should take holding out. Good value at his current quote.”

CrownBet.com.au – Santa Ana Lane at $2.60 (Race 2, Caulfield)

“Looks a horse with considerable ability. His win on debut was in slick time and he then was wide at Geelong before proving far too strong. Has upside and will take stopping here.”

Value runner – Dawn Of Hope at $7 (Race 4, Caulfield)

“After a good debut this daughter of Fastnet Rock showed her potential with an effortless maiden win over 1500m at Benalla. The quick step up to 2000m indicates they’ve have a firm plan in place.”

Sportsbet.com.au – Under The Louvre at $2.30 (Race 7, Caulfield)

“Very good effort in the Group I Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. Stays at his home track, is well weighted in this set weights and penalties event and he should be too strong over the concluding stages.”

Value runner – Greselin at $11 (Race 4, Doomben)

“Lightly raced John Morrisey-trained filly that reeled off good sectionals to win at the Gold Coast last start. Drops 3.5kg and should get tempo to suit. Can run over the top of them.”

Bookmaker’s lay of the day

Fell Swoop at $3 (Race 7, Caulfield)

“He’s getting quite deep into his preparation now, rises 2kg in weight. The likes of That’s A Good Idea, Craftiness and Dothraki will provide stiff opposition and he looks under the odds at the current price.”

Fell Swoop (Race 7, Caulfield)

“Has had a great preparation winning four on the trot however this field has more depth than his recent wins in Melbourne and at the end of a long preparation worth risking at his current price.”

Italy at $4.80 (Race 1, Caulfield)

“Hasn’t lived up to the early potential she showed but has been a victim of bad luck at times though. Just not sure a switch in states will be the ticket to success.”

Honesta at $3.20 (Race 4, Caulfield)

“Looked to peak slightly when second to Speak Fondly in the Group I Flight Stakes last start. Up to 2000m for the first time and don’t know if she has the turn of foot that Ambience looks to possess.”

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