EACH and every week there are big betting plunges on runners all around Australia.
This week we have featured runners from Flemington where punters haven’t been shy from backing both favourites and long shots.
Following the market movers can be a good way to make money betting on horse racing. Runners that have come in for support are usually well-backed by stable representatives and can be a strong lead into which runners are expected to go well and those that are not.
We kick off with Flemington Race 1, which has attracted interest for three runners at double-figure odds.
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Flemington market movers
Parmalove – ($26 into $21 at Sportsbet.com.au). The two-year-old filly may have drawn very wide in barrier 18, but punters have backed it confidently. It was a winner on debut at Seymour before racing ungenerously at Moonee Valley last start. Punters are expecting a much better effort at value odds.
Maysam – $21 into $18
Triple Effort – $19 into $16
The second is one of the feature races of the day and punters have backed the two favourites, Rough Justice and Star Stealer.
Rough Justice – ($4.80 into $4). The Ellerton/Zahra-trained gelding narrowly missed out at Flemington last start and punters are looking to recoup their losses. It faces a similar field here, barring the winner Husson Eagle, and it looks a strong chance based off that effort.
Star Stealer – $4.40 into $4. The Darren Weir runner won its first two career starts and it ran home nicely for third last start behind Husson Eagle and Rough Justice. Has come in for solid support and will push for favouritism.
Lirdbird – $21 into $17
Seattleite – ($34 into $21 at CrownBet.com.au). Seattleite has always been a well-backed runner and bettors are getting a great value price here. It finished fifth at Pakenham last time out and although it is rising in grade for this, it has won three times at this distance so keep tabs on the five-year-old at big odds.
Radical – $18 into $17
Angry Gee – $13 into $11
Dodging Bullets – $13 into $11
Kaizaen – ($6.50 into $5 at Sportsbet.com.au). Kaizaen has been specked in the market and it will likely now run as the favourite. Trainer Robert Smerdon is in great form and the barrier draw of six is key in such a large field of runners.
General Truce – $17 into $12
Hard Romp ($5.50 into $4.40 at Sportsbet.com.au) Hard Romp has been one of the best backed runners of the day and it gets the services of apprentice Mick Dee from New Zealand. Bookmakers opened it at each way value at $5.50 and punters were quick to snap up the goods. The $4.40 is expected to drop so get in while the price is still available.
Cooldini – $26 into $21
Cadillac Mountain – $8.50 into $7
De Little Engine ($4.40 into $3.50 at WilliamHill.com.au) The Danny O’Brien-trained runner will be an anchor in the quaddie for most after putting in four good performances without winning. The four-year-old won at Flemington five starts back and punters have backed it confidently since then, but they should go close here at short odds.
Only Kenjorwood has been backed in Race 7 at Flemington. The Peter Moody-trained runner opened at $4.20 and has been backed into solid favouritism at $3.60. It has drawn nicely in barrier four and the drop back in distance will suit. Luke Nolen rides and bettors think it could be another anchor in what is a tough quaddie day in Melbourne.
Pin Your Hopes ($31 into $26 at Sportsbet.com.au). It’s fair to say punters are pinning their hopes in the penultimate at Flemington. The Ellerton/Zahra-trained gelding hasn’t finished closer than seventh since returning from a spell, but it finished second at its last run at Flemington. This is a wide open field and Pin Your Hopes isn’t the worst of them.
Nautical – $6 into $5.50
Whistle Baby – $10 into $8
Oh So Assertive – $31 into $21