Our Melbourne Cup trifecta 2025 betting guide covers best bets, roughies, odds, staking plans and map/tempo insights to target a big payout at Flemington.
2025 Melbourne Cup Trifecta betting strategy & tips
Securing the Melbourne Cup trifecta is a cherished tradition and one of the most rewarding bets for punters. RacingOnline.com offers our Melbourne Cup trifecta tips for Tuesday, November 4, at Flemington.
The 2024 Melbourne Cup trifecta paid $22,576.80 on the local tote, with Knight’s Choice ($81.00), Warp Speed ($8.00) and Okita Soushi ($6.00) filling the trifecta.
Our on-top selection for 2025 is Presage Nocturne. He’s a proper two-miler with a wet-track action that screams Flemington on a rain-affected surface. The Caulfield Cup run was exactly the platform you want, strong through the line, ratings holding, and a set-up that suggests he’s ready to peak at 3200m. If he’s in the right spot come the turn, he will be hard to beat.
6
Presage Nocturne
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Wootton Bassett (GB)
- Dam: Kyurem (IRE)
Presage Nocturne 2025 Melbourne Cup Betting Odds
Half Yours is the yardstick and main danger. The Caulfield Cup win had authority—landed in the right spot, produced a decisive change-up sprint, and sustained it. Versatile in the map and sound on any going, he’s the horse most likely to get the run to suit again.
14
Half Yours
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: St Jean (IRE)
- Dam: La Gazelle
Half Yours 2025 Melbourne Cup Betting Odds
Absurde is the seasoned operator you want anchoring exotics. He relaxes midfield with cover, handles pressure, and keeps building from the 800m. If the tempo is genuine, he can chime in late to fill the placings, and he’s the type who spikes if the pace melts leaders.
9
Absurde
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Incroyable (USA)
Absurde 2025 Melbourne Cup Betting Odds
Smokin’ Romans is the price horse that boosts the trifecta. Forgive the below-par last start off the vet note; his prior work says he’s competitive when the rail/lead bias is in play. Likes the sting out, maps on speed, and can sling on for a strong finish if the pattern suits.
12
Smokin’ Romans
- Age: 9YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Ghibellines
- Dam: Inferno (NZ)
Smokin’ Romans 2025 Melbourne Cup Betting Odds
Melbourne Cup Trifecta Picks
6 Presage Nocturne
9 Absurd
12 Smokin’ Romans
14 Half Yours
$100 Betting Strategy:
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$100 Boxed Trifecta For 417%%
2025 Melbourne Cup Field
1. Al Riffa (19)
- T: Joseph O’Brien
- J: Mark Zahra
- W: 59kg
- F: 210x3x4211
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Wootton Bassett (GB)
- Dam: Love On My Mind (IRE)
2. Buckaroo (12)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Craig Williams
- W: 57kg
- F: 9x970x3232
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Roheryn (IRE)
3. Arapaho (15)
- T: Bjorn Baker
- J: Rachel King
- W: 56.5kg
- F: 5241×36408
- Age: 9YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Lope De Vega (IRE)
- Dam: Alzubra (GB)
4. Vauban (2)
- T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
- J: Blake Shinn
- W: 56.5kg
- F: 0x130x3650
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galiway (GB)
- Dam: Waldfest (GB)
5. Chevalier Rose (5)
- T: Hisashi Shimizu
- J: Damian Lane
- W: 55.5kg
- F: x11x070x0x
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Deep Impact (JPN)
- Dam: Viane Rose (FR)
6. Presage Nocturne (9)
- T: Alessandro Botti
- J: Stephane Pasquier
- W: 55.5kg
- F: 71x4x13x34
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Wootton Bassett (GB)
- Dam: Kyurem (IRE)
7. Middle Earth (13)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Ethan Brown
- W: 54.5kg
- F: x159x50903
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Roaring Lion (USA)
- Dam: Roheryn (IRE)
8. Meydaan (22)
- T: Simon & Ed Crisford
- J: James McDonald
- W: 54kg
- F: 47×5205239
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Frankel (GB)
- Dam: Nezwaah (GB)
9. Absurde (4)
- T: Willie Mullins
- J: Kerrin McEvoy
- W: 53.5kg
- F: 5x3132x3x7
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Incroyable (USA)
10. Flatten The Curve (17)
- T: Henk Grewe
- J: Thore Hammer Hansen
- W: 53.5kg
- F: 011x11411x
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Zarak (FR)
- Dam: Lailoma (FR)
11. Land Legend (16)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Joao Moreira
- W: 53.5kg
- F: x768x39500
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galileo (IRE)
- Dam: Landikusic (IRE)
12. Smokin’ Romans (11)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Ben Melham
- W: 53.5kg
- F: 0310×72948
- Age: 9YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Ghibellines
- Dam: Inferno (NZ)
13. Changingoftheguard (24)
- T: Kris Lees
- J: Tim Clark
- W: 53kg
- F: x742x82106
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galileo (IRE)
- Dam: Lady Lara (IRE)
14. Half Yours (8)
- T: Tony & Calvin McEvoy
- J: Jamie Melham
- W: 53kg
- F: x211215141
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: St Jean (IRE)
- Dam: La Gazelle
15. More Felons (23)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Tommy Berry
- W: 53kg
- F: 50x12x0944
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Churchill (IRE)
- Dam: Pivotalia (IRE)
16. Onesmoothoperator (6)
- T: Brian Ellison
- J: Harry Coffey
- W: 53kg
- F: 5735x840x1
- Age: 8YO
- Colour: Bay or Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Dialed In (USA)
- Dam: Sueno D’Oro (USA)
17. Furthur (7)
- T: Andrew Balding
- J: Michael Dee
- W: 52kg
- F: 72×152516
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Waldgeist (GB)
- Dam: Danamight (IRE)
18. Parchment Party (3)
- T: William Mott
- J: John Velazquez
- W: 52kg
- F: 5x59231x1x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Constitution (USA)
- Dam: Life Well Lived (USA)
19. Athabascan (1)
- T: John O’Shea & Tom Charlton
- J: Declan Bates
- W: 51.5kg
- F: 82959×0002
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Almanzor (FR)
- Dam: Alzubra (GB)
20. Goodie Two Shoes (20)
- T: Joseph O’Brien
- J: Wayne Lordan
- W: 51.5kg
- F: 57x331113x
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Fits Like a Glove (IRE)
21. River Of Stars (14)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Beau Mertens
- W: 51.5kg
- F: 42x73x7802
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam: Amazone (GER)
22. Royal Supremacy (21)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Robbie Dolan
- W: 51kg
- F: 32×0011215
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Make Believe (GB)
- Dam: Adelasia (IRE)
23. Torranzino (18)
- T: Paul Preusker
- J: Celine Gaudray
- W: 51kg
- F: 4212×80821
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Tarzino (NZ)
- Dam: Goldilicious (NZ)
